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AlaskaBruce G. Marcot
updated 27 November 2023
Items listed in decreasing chronological order.
images
photos and stories of Alaska ... from my Ecology Picture of the Week (EPOW) -- a growing collection
publications
Interior Alaska Dept. of Defense Climate Change Project -------------------------Marcot, B. G. 2022. Sound anomalies of Cornell Swift recorders affect ecoacoustic studies, and a workaround solution. Wildlife Society Bulletin 46(5):e1363. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wsb.1363 Open Access
Douglas, T. A., M. T. Jorgenson, H. Genet, B. G. Marcot, and P. Nelsen. 2022. Interior Alaska DoD training land wildlife habitat vulnerability to permafrost thaw, an altered fire regime, and hydrologic changes. Miscellaneous Paper ERDC/CRREL MP-22-2. Engineer Research and Development Center (U.S.). 316 pp https://hdl.handle.net/11681/43146 (29MB)
Douglas, T. A., M. T. Jorgenson, H. Genet, B. Marcot, M. Turetsky, C. Hiemstra, and R. Murphy. 2019. Interior Alaska DoD training land wildlife habitat vulnerability to permafrost thaw, an altered fire regime, and hydrologic changes. Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program Interim Report, Project RC18-C2-1170. Fairbanks, AK. 49 pp.Jorgenson, M. T., D. Brown, C. Hiemstra, H. Genet, B. G. Marcot, R. Murphy, and T. A. Douglas. 2022. Drivers of historical and projected changes in diverse boreal ecosystems: thermokarst, riverine dynamics, and humans. Environmental Research Letters 17(4):045016. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5c0d. (6.3MB)
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, T. A. Douglas, and P. Nelsen. 2022. Photographic aerial transects of Fort Wainwright, Alaska. ERDC/CRREL TR-22-14. Prepared for U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Fort Wainwright, Alaska, Department of Defense's Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program Project RC18-1170. http://dx.doi.org/10.21079/11681/45283. 26 pp.
data archives ---------------
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, T. A. Douglas, and P. Nelsen. 2022. Aerial transect photographs of U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Army Fort Wainwright Training Lands, Alaska in 2019. Fort Collins, CO: Forest Service Research Data Archive. https://doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2022-0033.
Marcot, Bruce G.; Sullivan, Taylor D.; Hiemstra, Christopher A.; Douglas, Thomas A. 2022. Ecological field sound recordings of U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Army Fort Wainwright Training Lands, Alaska. Fort Collins, CO: Forest Service Research Data Archive. https://doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2022-0048.
Effects of Climate Change on Arctic
and Subarctic Ecosystems and Wildlife ----------------------Shasby, M. B., C. A. Dolloff, J. A. Hicke, B. G. Marcot, B. McCarl, G. McMahon, and J. M. Morton. 2017. Five-year external reviews of the eight Department of Interior Climate Science Centers: Alaska Climate Science Center. American Fisheries Society. Bethesda, Maryland. 46 pp. PDF (6.8MB)
Vizcarra, N., and B. Marcot. 2016. Big changes in cold places: the future of wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska. Science Findings (USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station) 186:1-5. Available here.
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, J. Lawler, C. M. Handel, and A. R. DeGange. 2015. Projected changes in wildlife habitats in Arctic natural areas of northwest Alaska. Climatic Change 130(2):145-154. PDF (1MB). With Supplementary Material PDF (0.5MB)
Media release from the U.S. Forest Service. News articles about the research in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 13(4):182; on The Wildlife Society web site; in Alaska Dispatch News (Anchorage).Jorgenson, M. T., B. G. Marcot, D. K. Swanson, J. C. Jorgenson, and A. R. DeGange. 2015. Projected changes in diverse ecosystems from climate warming and biophysical drivers in northwest Alaska. Climatic Change 130(2):131-144. PDF (1MB)
DeGange, A. R., B. G. Marcot, J. Lawler, T. Jorgenson, and R. Winfree. 2014. Predicting the effects of climate change on ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska: results of the WildCast project. Alaska Park Science 12(2):66-73. PDF (2.5MB)
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, and A. R. DeGange. 2014. Low-altitude photographic transects of the Arctic Network of national park units and Selawik National Wildlife Refuge, Alaska, July 2013. USGS Data Series 846. https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/ds846. Anchorage, AK. 44 pp. PDF (10MB)
Also see: USGS Photographic Transect Data; and 11-17 August 2014 Ecology Picture of the Week; and
Wildlife Potential Habitat Forecasting Framework (WildCAST)Marcot, B. G. 2010. Modeling approaches for predicting change under WILDCAST: making progress in a data-poor world. Alaska Park Science 8(2):90-94. PDF (1.3MB)
Wildlife and Conservation Biology in Alaska ----------------------Fortin, J. K., K. D. Rode, G. V. Hilderbrand, J. Wilder, S. Farley, C. Jorgensen, and B. G. Marcot. 2016. The impacts of human recreation on brown bears (Ursus arctos): a review and new management tool. PLoS ONE 11(1):e0141983. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0141983. PDF (1MB)
Marcot, B. G. 2013. Concepts of conservation biology applied to wildlife in old-forest ecosystems, with special reference to southeast Alaska and north coastal British Columbia. Pp.168-188 in: G. Orians and J. W. Schoen, eds. North Pacific temperate rainforests ecology and conservation. University of Washington, Seattle WA PDF (5.6MB)
Marcot, B. G., and M. G. Raphael. 2012. Conservation of martens, sables, and fishers in multispecies bioregional assessments. Pp. 451-470 in: K. B. Aubry, W. J. Zielinski, M. G. Raphael, G. Proulx, and S. W. Buskirk, eds. Biology and conservation of martens, sables, and fishers: a new synthesis. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, New York. [Includes reference to mustelids in Alaska.] PDF (5.6MB)
Marcot, B. G., and J. B. Nyberg. 2005. The future of forest biodiversity conservation amidst development: reflection and vision. International Forestry Review 7(5):21.
Effects of Climate Change on Pacific Walrus* --------------------Jay, C. V., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2011. Projected status of the Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) in the 21st century. Polar Biology 34(7):1065-1084. Polar Biology 34(7):(on line). PDF (1.7MB)
> With online resource (supplementary material) PDF (240KB)Jay, C. V., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2010. Projected status of the Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) in the 21st century Administrative Report Submitted to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. US Geological Survey, Anchorage, Alaska. 90 pp.
Huntington, H., G. Noongwook, C. Jay, B. Marcot, and C. Pungowiyi. 2009. Bering Sea Project, local and traditional knowledge component, Savoonga LTK notes. Report to the Bering Sea Project, 18 September 2009. 18 pp. PDF (1MB)
Also available as: Huntington, H. P., G. Noongwook, C. V. Jay, B. G. Marcot, and C. Pungowiyi. 2016. Savoonga field report for the local and traditional knowledge component of the Bering Sea Integrated Ecosystem Research Program (B69). Arctic Data Center:doi:10.5065/D63J3B30.
Effects of Climate Change on Polar Bears* ------------------------Marcot, B. G., T. C. Atwood, D. C. Douglas, J. F. Bromaghin, A. M. Pagano, and S. C. Amstrup. 2023. Incremental evolution of modeling a prognosis for polar bears in a rapidly changing Arctic. Ecological Indicators 156:111130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111130. PDF (3.6MB)
Atwood, T. C., B. G. Marcot, D. C. Douglas, S. C. Amstrup, K. D. Rode, G. M. Durner, and J. F. Bromaghin. 2016. Forecasting the relative influence of anthropogenic stressors on polar bears. Ecosphere 7(6):DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.1370. PDF (3.6MB)
Atwood, T. C., B. G. Marcot, D. C. Douglas, S. C. Amstrup, K. D. Rode, G. M. Durner, and J. F. Bromaghin. 2015. Evaluating and ranking threats to the long-term persistence of polar bears. U.S. Geological Survey, Open-File Report 2014-1254. http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ofr20141254. Anchorage, Alaska. 114 pp. PDF (8MB)
> Also available from http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2014/1254/Amstrup, S. C., E. T. DeWeaver, D. C. Douglas, B. G. Marcot, G. M. Dumer, C. M. Bitz, and D. A. Bailey. 2010. Greenhouse gas mitigation can reduce sea-ice loss and increase polar bear persistence. Nature 468(7326):955-958. PDF (1.5MB)
> With online resource (supplementary material) PDF (2.5MB)Amstrup, S. C., H. Caswell, E. DeWeaver, I. Stirling, D. C. Douglas, B. G. Marcot, and C. M. Hunter. 2009. Rebuttal of "polar bear population forecasts: a public-policy forecasting audit". Interfaces 39(4):353-369. PDF (235KB)
Amstrup, S. C., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2008. A Bayesian network modeling approach to forecasting the 21st century worldwide status of polar bears. Pp. 213-268 in: E. T. DeWeaver, C. M. Bitz, and L.-B. Tremblay, eds. Arctic sea ice decline: observations, projections, mechanisms, and implications. Geophysical Monograph 180. American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C. PDF (4.4MB)
Amstrup, S. C., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2008. Forecasting the range-wide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century: addition of model outcomes for the decade 2020-2029. Administrative Report. US Geological Survey, Anchorage, Alaska. 6 pp.
Amstrup, S. C., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2007. Forecasting the range-wide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century. Administrative Report. US Geological Survey, Anchorage, Alaska. 126 pp. PDF (4.4MB, low-res)
Also available from: http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/33235 PDF (20.8MB, high-res)
*Some items also listed on Bayesian Network Models in Ecology page.